How to beat Mono Red Rally in Pauper
Over the last 90 days of recorded Pauper matches, the decks with the best results against Mono Red Rally are Ephemerate Tron (78% over 9 matches), Spy Combo (78% over 9 matches) and White Aggro (71% over 7 matches). Ephemerate Tron's 78% sits in a 95% range of 45%–94%, which is the range a 9-match sample actually supports. The decks with the best records against it most often carry Dust to Dust, Blue Elemental Blast and Red Elemental Blast in the sideboard — those are their sideboards in general, not cards chosen for this matchup.
Best records against Mono Red Rally
Matches played in the last 90 days, from events that publish round-by-round pairings. Ranked by the bottom of each 95% range, not by the headline percentage, so a small sample cannot outrank a large one.
| Deck | Win rate vs Mono Red Rally | Record | Matches | Sample | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ephemerate Tron | 77.8% | 7-2 | 9 | Medium sample | 45%–94% |
| Spy Combo | 77.8% | 7-2 | 9 | Medium sample | 45%–94% |
| White Aggro | 71.4% | 5-2 | 7 | Low sample | 36%–92% |
- High sample · 20+ matches
- Medium sample · 8–19 matches
- Low sample · 5–7 matches
31 further pairings (63 matches) fall below the 5-match floor and are not given a percentage. 2 pairings against archetypes that have left the Pauper metagame are excluded. Full history, retired archetypes included, is on Mono Red Rally's archetype page and in the Pauper matchup matrix.
What the decks that beat Mono Red Rally bring
Sideboard cards run by Ephemerate Tron, Spy Combo, White Aggro. This is not a sideboard guide for this matchup. We record who beat whom, not what either player boarded, so these are whole-sideboard frequencies across every matchup those decks play — a hint about the kind of card that punishes Mono Red Rally, not a list to bring in.
| Card | Decks running it | Average copies | Which decks |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dust to Dust | 1 of 3 | 3.6 | White Aggro |
| Blue Elemental Blast | 1 of 3 | 3.0 | Ephemerate Tron |
| Red Elemental Blast | 1 of 3 | 2.9 | Ephemerate Tron |
| Martyr of Sands | 1 of 3 | 2.4 | White Aggro |
| Journey to Nowhere | 1 of 3 | 2.1 | White Aggro |
| Faerie Macabre | 1 of 3 | 1.9 | Spy Combo |
| Hydroblast | 1 of 3 | 1.7 | Ephemerate Tron |
| Mesmeric Fiend | 1 of 3 | 1.6 | Spy Combo |
| Standard Bearer | 1 of 3 | 1.6 | White Aggro |
| Pyroblast | 1 of 3 | 1.4 | Ephemerate Tron |
| Holy Light | 1 of 3 | 1.4 | White Aggro |
| Writhing Chrysalis | 1 of 3 | 1.2 | Spy Combo |
Average copies is expected copies per deck — average copies played multiplied by the share of that archetype's lists running the card — so a 4-of in half the lists reads as 2.0.
Decks Mono Red Rally beats
The other end of the same table. If you are choosing a deck to attack Mono Red Rally with, the record argues against these.
| Deck | Win rate vs Mono Red Rally | Record | Matches | Sample | 95% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mono Red Madness | 18.8% | 3-13 | 16 | Medium sample | 7%–43% |
| Elves | 23.1% | 3-10 | 13 | Medium sample | 8%–50% |
| Tron | 16.7% | 1-5 | 6 | Low sample | 3%–56% |
| Jund Wildfire | 27.3% | 3-8 | 11 | Medium sample | 10%–57% |
| Dimir Faeries | 20.0% | 1-4 | 5 | Low sample | 4%–62% |
| Grixis Affinity | 41.2% | 7-10 | 17 | Medium sample | 22%–64% |
| Blue Terror | 37.5% | 3-5 | 8 | Medium sample | 14%–69% |
| Esper Affinity | 40.0% | 2-3 | 5 | Low sample | 12%–77% |
- High sample · 20+ matches
- Medium sample · 8–19 matches
- Low sample · 5–7 matches
Questions
What beats Mono Red Rally in Pauper?
Across the last 90 days, Ephemerate Tron (78% over 9 matches), Spy Combo (78% over 9 matches) and White Aggro (71% over 7 matches) hold the best recorded results against Mono Red Rally. Records come from events that publish round-by-round pairings, and both decks in a match have to be identified for it to count, so these are the pairings we can see rather than every match played.
What should I bring in against Mono Red Rally?
We do not have sideboard choices tied to individual matches, so this is not a sideboard guide. What the data supports is narrower: the 3 decks with the best records against Mono Red Rally — Ephemerate Tron, Spy Combo and White Aggro — most commonly run Dust to Dust, Blue Elemental Blast, Red Elemental Blast, Martyr of Sands and Journey to Nowhere in their sideboards. Those are whole-sideboard frequencies across every matchup those decks play.
What does Mono Red Rally beat?
Mono Red Rally's best recorded matchups over the same window are Mono Red Madness (81% across 16 matches), Elves (77% across 13 matches) and Tron (83% across 6 matches). If you are picking a deck to attack Mono Red Rally with, these are the ones the record argues against.
How reliable are these Pauper matchup numbers?
Not very, and the page says so per row rather than in aggregate. Every pairing shows its match count, its sample band and a 95% range; the strongest band we award is 20+ matches, which is still roughly a ±20-point range around the figure shown. Pairings under 5 matches are counted but never given a percentage — there are 31 of those for Mono Red Rally right now. Rankings use the bottom of each range rather than the headline percentage, so a small sample cannot outrank a large one it has not earned.
What period does this cover?
Matches played in the last 90 days, filtered on when each match was actually played. Archetypes that have dropped out of the Pauper metagame are excluded from the ranking, which removes 2 pairings here — their historical records are still on Mono Red Rally's own archetype page and in the format matchup matrix.
What each number on this site measures, and where it is least reliable, is set out on the methodology page.